Questioning Pathways Out of Poverty: Indonesia as an Illustrative Case for the World Bank's Transforming Countries


Rachman, Noer F., Laksmi A. Savitri,  and Mohamad Shohibuddin (2009) "Questioning Pathways Out of Poverty: Indonesia as an Illustrative Case for the World Bank's Transforming Countries", Journal of Peasant Studies 36(3):621—627


Abstract

The World Development Report 2008 uses Indonesia as an illustrative case for what it calls ‘transforming countries’. The main argument of this paper is that the three pathways out of poverty (commercially-oriented entrepreneurial small-holder farming; rural non-farm enterprise development, and out-migration) prescribed by the Report should be theoretically and empirically questioned because of the possibility of a reverse consequence: the perpetuation of poverty in Indonesia.

Keywords: pathways out of poverty; global market; capitalism


[I]f capitalism is thrown out of the door, it comes in through the window.

Braudel (1982), Civilization and Capitalism

 

            This paper will critically discuss some claims that the World Development Report 2008 (henceforth, WDR 2008) makes based on its reading of the Indonesian case. In this short commentary we will not examine the applicability of its linear theory of agriculture-for-development, which reminds us of Rostow’s ‘stages of economic growth’, by correcting the data it uses for Indonesia, or adding new data, nor will we criticise the vision that the Report offers, although we believe that vision to be erroneous.[1] Our goal is straightforward: to explore how capitalism produces new poverty through the very same pathways that the Report proposes as ways to exit from rural poverty.          

            Indonesia, according to the Report, falls into the category of ‘transforming countries’, in which ‘agriculture is no longer a major source of economic growth, contributing on average only 7 percent to GDP growth, but poverty remains overwhelmingly rural’ (p. 4). It almost qualifies as ‘urbanised’, a category in which ‘agriculture contributes even less to economic growth, 5 percent on average, and poverty is mostly urban. Even so, rural areas still have 45 percent of the poor, and agribusiness and the food industry and services account for as much as one third of GDP’ (p. 4). Indeed Indonesia, ‘already in the transforming category in the 1970s, further reduced the share of rural poverty’ (p. 30) in the subsequent decades. Indonesia supported the agriculture sector ‘indirectly through regular devaluations of the exchange rate that provided incentives to its producers of agricultural tradables, and directly through investments of some windfall oil revenues in rural infrastructure, irrigation, agricultural credit, and fertilizer subsidies’. As a result, ‘$1-a-day poverty declined from 47 percent in 1981 to 14 percent in 1996’ (p. 35).

            The WDR contains twelve references to Indonesia, all of them claiming a successful process of transition, as evidenced by a decline in rural poverty between 1980 and 2001, rapid growth in the non-farm share of rural employment in 1990– 1995, and migration to small and intermediate cities that may offer greater potential than larger cities for poorer rural households. The Report conveys a clear message that Indonesia escaped poverty by design, through policies such as increasing agricultural productivity, investment in agricultural/rural infrastructure, and state-sponsored capital lending by the Bank Rakyat Indonesia. These policies, according to the WDR, oriented the rural poor towards three pathways: (i) entering commercial farming by integration into the market for global food and agricultural products, (ii) engaging in waged labour, and (iii) outmigration from the rural economy. But WDR 2008 does not explain which layer of the rural poor has actually entered the global market and accumulated gains, how the connection with the market is constructed, and how outmigration has operated as a strategy for different segments of the rural population.

            The potential ‘downsides’ of the three pathways need to be explored if we are to understand whether the transformation of Indonesia has indeed increased the wellbeing of the poor, as the Report claims, or perpetuated their poverty. The Report has no systematic way of grasping these ‘downsides’, since it lacks a concept of capitalism as a set of relations that produce poverty as well as wealth (Mosse 2007, 9); indeed, we could not find the word ‘capitalism’ in the Report. We share with Mosse and others the perspective that treats poverty as a consequence of social and economic relations, rather than a static condition. Thus ‘poverty cannot be eradicated . . . on the contrary poverty is continually being created and recreated under the institutions of capitalism’ (Harriss-White 2006, 1241). In order to understand poverty dynamics, it is necessary ‘to examine the relations between the dominant and dominated classes, groups and individual, as it is through their multiple linkages that livelihoods of the poor contribute to the enrichment of the wealthy and thus to the poor’s continuing misery’ (Kay 2005, 327, Kay 2006).

            Further, we need to understand capitalism ‘historically, structurally, and spatially’, and to situate Indonesia within ‘wider fields of power’, placing the ‘global’ within the ‘local’ (Roseberry 2002, 77). Since integration into global markets produces differential opportunities and constraints, and the poor tend to have less access to favourable ‘pathways’, integration risks to deepen inequality and uneven development.

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[1] Akram-Lodhi (2008, 1160) argues the Report ‘offers a vision . . . that will consolidate the corporate food regime and the establishment of agrarian capitalism across the worlds of global agriculture’.

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